マイクログリッド市場シェア分析、業界動向と統計、成長予測 2026-2031年

マイクログリッド市場規模は、2025年の205億4,000万米ドルから2026年には244億4,000万米ドルに成長し、2031年には549億9,000万米ドルに達すると予測されています。2026年から2031年にかけての年平均成長率（CAGR）は17.61%です。

この成長の背景には、インバーターとバッテリーのコスト低下、再生可能エネルギーの導入率を90%以上に引き上げるグリッド構築技術、そして規制収益に直接的にレジリエンスを結びつける政策義務化があります。電力会社のパイロットプロジェクトは本格的なフィーダーレベルのプロジェクトへと拡大し、軍事基地はネットゼロ目標の達成に向けて邁進しています。また、ハードウェアのコモディティ化が進む一方で、ソフトウェアが収益の原動力となっています。米国西部における山火事リスクの増大、島嶼国におけるディーゼル燃料の物流問題、データセンターにおけるブラックスタート機能の必要性など、分散型で自立型の電力システムのビジネスケースを裏付ける要素が数多く存在します。これらの要因が相まって、プロジェクトファイナンスは補助金主導のパイロットプロジェクトから、構造化された成果報酬型契約へと移行し続けています。

レポートの主要ポイント

• 接続方式別に見ると、2025年には系統連系型システムがマイクログリッド市場の62.3%を占め、一方、オフグリッド型システムは2031年まで年平均成長率（CAGR）18.9%で成長すると予測されています。
• 製品・サービス別に見ると、2025年にはマイクログリッド市場においてハードウェアが収益の63.3%を占めました。ソフトウェアプラットフォームは、2031年まで年平均成長率（CAGR）22.3%で拡大すると予測されています。
• 電源別に見ると、太陽光発電アレイは2025年のマイクログリッド市場規模の37.9%を占め、2031年まで年平均成長率18.5%で成長すると予測されています。
• タイプ別に見ると、交流（AC）マイクログリッドは2025年のマイクログリッド市場における設置件数の47.9%を占め、ハイブリッドAC/DCマイクログリッドは2031年まで年平均成長率19.2%で増加すると予測されています。
• 出力別に見ると、1～5MW帯は2025年の導入件数の42.7%を占め、5～10MW帯は2031年まで年平均成長率20.1%で増加すると予測されています。
• エンドユーザー別に見ると、商業・産業顧客が2025年の需要の43.1%を占め、市場を牽引しました。マイクログリッド市場における電力会社の導入件数は、2031年まで年平均成長率（CAGR）21.0%で増加すると予測されています。
• 地域別に見ると、北米は2025年時点で収益シェアの38.6%を維持すると見込まれています。一方、アジア太平洋地域はマイクログリッド市場において、世界最高となる年平均成長率23.7%を達成する見込みです。

Microgrid Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence

The Microgrid Market size is expected to grow from USD 20.54 billion in 2025 to USD 24.44 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 54.99 billion by 2031 at 17.61% CAGR over 2026-2031.

Behind that growth are falling inverter and battery costs, grid-forming technology that lets renewable penetration exceed 90%, and policy mandates that now tie resilience directly to regulated returns. Utility pilots are scaling into full feeder-level projects, military bases are racing toward net-zero targets, and software has become the margin engine even as hardware commoditizes. Growing wildfire liabilities in the western United States, diesel logistics in island nations, and the need for black-start capability at data centers all reinforce the business case for distributed, self-sufficient power systems. Together, these forces continue to shift project finance away from grant-driven pilots toward structured, performance-based contracts.

Key Report Takeaways

• By connectivity, grid-connected systems held 62.3% of the microgrid market share in 2025, while off-grid deployments are projected to grow at an 18.9% CAGR through 2031.
• By offering, hardware commanded 63.3% of revenue in 2025 in the microgrid market; software platforms are expected to expand at a 22.3% CAGR to 2031.
  By power source, solar photovoltaic arrays accounted for 37.9% of the microgrid market size in 2025 and are forecast to grow at an 18.5% CAGR to 2031.
• By type, AC microgrids represented 47.9% of installations in 2025 in the microgrid market, while hybrid AC/DC microgrids are set to increase at a 19.2% CAGR through 2031.
• By power rating, the 1–5 MW band captured 42.7% of 2025 deployments , while the 5–10 MW tier is anticipated to rise at a 20.1% CAGR by 2031, within the microgrid market landscape.
  By end-user, commercial and industrial customers led with 43.1% of demand in 2025; utility deployments in the microgrid market are projected to climb at a 21.0% CAGR to 2031.
• By geography, North America retained 38.6% revenue share in 2025; Asia-Pacific in the microgrid market is poised for a 23.7% CAGR, the highest worldwide.

Note: Market size and forecast figures in this report are generated using Mordor Intelligence’s proprietary estimation framework, updated with the latest available data and insights as of January 2026.

Global Microgrid Market Trends and Insights

Accelerated Rural Electrification in Africa & South Asia

World Bank data show 8,700 mini-grids serving 4.1 million people were installed in 34 African nations between 2020 and 2024, yet 600 million residents still lack reliable electricity; this unmet demand represents a USD 42 billion investment gap through 2030 in the microgrid market.[1] The International Finance Corporation mobilized USD 500 million of blended finance between 2024 and 2025, cutting developer capital costs in Nigeria and Kenya by six percentage points. India’s Ministry of New and Renewable Energy budgeted INR 34.4 billion (USD 413 million) for 2024-2025 to solarize 200,000 agricultural pumps, displacing 1.2 billion liters of diesel annually. Bangladesh’s Infrastructure Development Company Limited funded 1,850 additional solar mini-grids in 2024, while the Asian Development Bank committed USD 1.1 billion in 2025 to hybrid systems across South and Southeast Asia. Together, these initiatives narrow the cost of capital and shorten build cycles for off-grid microgrids that substitute costly diesel fuel.

IT/OT Convergence Spurs Advanced Microgrid Controllers in North America

The National Electrical Manufacturers Association published the US 80056-2024 standard, creating a common data model for bidirectional exchange between operational technology devices and enterprise IT systems supporting the microgrid market. As a result, microgrid controllers now integrate weather forecasts, wholesale price signals, and building-management inputs to optimize dispatch every 15 minutes. Schneider Electric’s EcoStruxure Microgrid Advisor cut peak-demand charges by 23% across 47 U.S. sites by mid-2025, while ABB’s Ability Energy Manager links directly with enterprise resource-planning suites to automate demand-response bids in PJM’s capacity market. Cybersecurity, however, remains uneven: a 2024 National Institute of Standards and Technology audit found unified authentication missing in 62% of surveyed projects. Standardization accelerates controller roll-outs yet raises the bar for compliance.

Modular “Box” Microgrids for Disaster-Recovery in Caribbean Islands

Containerized solar-plus-storage systems that can be air-lifted and commissioned within 72 hours have become the default resilience play in hurricane-prone regions in the microgrid market. BoxPower installed 14 such units across Puerto Rico during 2024-2025, each rated at 50 kW with 200 kWh of storage, achieving 98% uptime during Tropical Storm Ernesto. Oak Ridge National Laboratory networked 12 rooftop arrays and three battery banks into a 1.2 MW community microgrid that remained online through the same event. The U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency directed USD 428 million of Hazard Mitigation Grant funds toward islanded energy projects in 2024, recognizing that delivered diesel costs USD 1.20–1.80 per liter and often arrives days late during crises.

Utility-led Community Resilience Programs in U.S. & Australia

California’s Self-Generation Incentive Program disbursed USD 1.8 billion from 2021 to 2025, with 43% earmarked for disadvantaged communities; average project size rose from 3.2 MW to 6.7 MW in that interval within the microgrid market. Pacific Gas & Electric’s Microgrid Incentive Program offers USD 200 per kW for systems serving critical facilities, targeting 500 MW of new capacity by 2027. Australia mirrors the trend: New South Wales funded 11 community battery projects totaling 47 MWh in 2024-2025, while Victoria allocated AUD 88.5 million for 100 neighborhood batteries in fire-prone zones. These programs position utilities as resilience providers and open new regulated-return pathways.

Fragmented Codes Stalling Inter-connection Approvals in U.S. States

FERC Order 2023 streamlined generator queues, yet state-level processes still diverge in the microgrid market: California’s cluster studies cut median approval time to 18 months in 2024, while Texas’s serial study left 142 GW waiting.[3] New York now insists that microgrids above 5 MW provide synthetic inertia, delaying 23 projects totaling 87 MW. Florida imposed a one-year moratorium on new applications in August 2024, freezing USD 1.2 billion of planned investment. Until state codes align, developers will hedge by favoring behind-the-meter systems or markets with clearer rules.

Subsidy Claw-Back Risk in India’s PM-KUSUM Programme

The Ministry of New and Renewable Energy recovered INR 2.8 billion from under-performing projects in 2024, enforcing a rule that generation must reach 85% of forecast output within 12 months in the microgrid market.[4] Delisted inverter brands raised replacement costs, while Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh stretched subsidy timelines from 90 days to 210 days. Asian Development Bank analysis shows the resulting uncertainty lifted the average cost of capital by 120 basis points in 2025, eroding returns for equity investors.

Segment Analysis

Grid-connected configurations held 62.3% of 2025 deployments, providing utilities with non-wire alternatives to costly transmission upgrades while offering ancillary-service revenue across the microgrid market. Off-grid systems remain the lifeline for 733 million people without reliable electricity, largely in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Off-grid assets deliver higher internal rates of return where diesel costs exceed USD 1.40 per liter and transmission tariffs approach USD 0.04 per kWh. For grid-tied projects, capacity-market participation, for example, PJM’s USD 269.92 per MW-day clearing price, adds an extra income stream that lifts payback.

Hybrid connectivity now sits between the two models in the microgrid market. Puerto Rico mandates automatic transfer switching for microgrids above 5 MW, while California’s updated Rule 21 requires smart inverters that ride through voltage and frequency disturbances. Satellite backhaul, often via Starlink, is lowering maintenance costs by enabling remote diagnostics at hundreds of African sites. Across all geographies, islanding capability is shifting from an optional feature to a project requirement.

Hardware still represented 63.3% of microgrid market revenue in 2025, yet lithium-ion batteries and PV modules both keep falling in price, compressing integrator margins. Software, by contrast, now earns 25% to 35% gross margins and is projected to expand at a 22.3% CAGR. Machine-learning dispatch can lift revenue by optimizing charge-discharge cycles against 15-minute wholesale prices and demand-charge windows. As-a-service contracts have emerged: Engie retains asset ownership and sells power below the grid tariff, lowering customer capex. Performance-based operations agreements with availability guarantees above 98% are now standard on public-sector procurements.

The Microgrid Market Report is Segmented by Connectivity (Grid-Connected and Off-Grid), Offering (Hardware, Software, and Services), Power Sources (Solar Photovoltaic, Combined Heat and Power, Fuel Cells, and More), Type (AC Microgrids, DC Microgrids, and More), Power Rating (Up To 1 MW, 1 To 5 MW, and More), End-User (Utilities, Commercial and Industrial, and Residential), and Geography (North America, Asia-Pacific, and More).

Geography Analysis

By Connectivity: Grid Resilience Drives Dual-Mode Adoption

Grid-connected configurations held 62.3% of 2025 deployments, providing utilities with non-wire alternatives to costly transmission upgrades while offering ancillary-service revenue across the microgrid market. Off-grid systems remain the lifeline for 733 million people without reliable electricity, largely in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Off-grid assets deliver higher internal rates of return where diesel costs exceed USD 1.40 per liter and transmission tariffs approach USD 0.04 per kWh. For grid-tied projects, capacity-market participation, for example, PJM’s USD 269.92 per MW-day clearing price, adds an extra income stream that lifts payback.

Hybrid connectivity now sits between the two models in the microgrid market. Puerto Rico mandates automatic transfer switching for microgrids above 5 MW, while California’s updated Rule 21 requires smart inverters that ride through voltage and frequency disturbances. Satellite backhaul, often via Starlink, is lowering maintenance costs by enabling remote diagnostics at hundreds of African sites. Across all geographies, islanding capability is shifting from an optional feature to a project requirement.

By Offering: Software Gains Margin as Hardware Commoditizes

Hardware still represented 63.3% of microgrid market revenue in 2025, yet lithium-ion batteries and PV modules both keep falling in price, compressing integrator margins. Software, by contrast, now earns 25% to 35% gross margins and is projected to expand at a 22.3% CAGR. Machine-learning dispatch can lift revenue by optimizing charge-discharge cycles against 15-minute wholesale prices and demand-charge windows. As-a-service contracts have emerged: Engie retains asset ownership and sells power below the grid tariff, lowering customer capex. Performance-based operations agreements with availability guarantees above 98% are now standard on public-sector procurements.

By Power Source: Solar Outpaces but Hybrid Strategies Prevail

Solar PV held 37.9% of installed capacity in 2025 thanks to module prices below USD 0.18 per watt and enduring tax credits. Combined heat and power remains crucial for sites with thermal loads, while diesel generators offer indispensable black-start and peak-shaving support in off-grid environments. Fuel cells, led by solid-oxide designs, are the fastest-growing niche, particularly for data centers that require five-nines uptime. Most new builds adopt hybrid combinations, solar paired with storage or diesel, balancing capital costs with dispatchability and resilience.

By Type: Hybrid AC/DC Architectures Serve Emerging DC Loads

AC microgrids accounted for 47.9% of 2025 installations, rooted in legacy building wiring and utility practices within the broader microgrid market landscape. Hybrid AC/DC systems, however, are growing 19.2% annually because data centers and EV fast-charging hubs prefer native DC coupling that eliminates inverter losses. IEEE 2030.10 recommends 380 V DC for commercial applications and 48 V DC for residential. Military installations and telecom towers have also migrated to hybrid topologies to integrate solar, batteries, and legacy diesel while maintaining compatibility with existing distribution gear.

By Power Rating: Community-Scale Projects Accelerate

Systems rated 1 MW to 5 MW captured 42.7% of 2025 projects, aligning with the needs of hospitals, campuses, and light-industrial parks. The 5 MW to 10 MW band, however, shows the fastest growth at 20.1% CAGR as utilities aggregate critical loads across multiple facilities. Modular component design allows phased expansion, while lower battery prices have reduced the break-even threshold for utility-scale storage. Above 10 MW, longer interconnection queues remain a barrier, but economies of scale improve capital efficiency for developers willing to navigate transmission-level studies.

By End-User: Utilities Move From Pilot to Portfolio

Commercial and industrial facilities drove 43.1% of 2025 demand in the microgrid market, mainly to secure uptime and avoid demand charges. Utilities now view microgrids as regulated assets that defer costly infrastructure and mitigate wildfire risk, propelling their 21.0% forecast CAGR. Residential uptake stays modest, though virtual power-plant aggregations, such as Tesla’s 4,000-unit California fleet, hint at future scale. Hospitals must now guarantee 96-hour backup under revised Joint Commission rules, accelerating microgrid adoption in healthcare.

Geography Analysis

North America held 38.6% of installations in 2025, supported by a USD 1.8 billion incentive outlay in California and Department of Defense mandates for net-zero bases. Canada financed 18 Indigenous-led microgrids between 2024 and 2025, and Mexico’s reopened distributed-generation market sparked 67 MW of industrial projects. State-level code fragmentation remains the leading bottleneck south of the border.

Asia-Pacific is the fastest-growing region at a 23.7% CAGR through 2031. India’s PM-KUSUM solarizes agricultural pumps at scale, Japan enforces post-Fukushima resilience standards, and China’s 14th Five-Year Plan targets 50 GW of distributed solar in frontier provinces. Southeast Asian islands substitute costly diesel imports with solar-battery systems, while Australia’s neighborhood battery initiatives marry wildfire mitigation with community storage.

Europe, with 22% market share in 2025, pioneers grid-forming technology: Finland’s 90 MW battery provides synthetic inertia, and Sweden has awarded a 200 MW project. Incentives in the United Kingdom and Spain accelerate community batteries on islands and weak grids. Cybersecurity directives under NIS2 raise compliance costs but improve operator readiness.

South America and the Middle East & Africa together account for 18% of installations, yet post near-20% growth. Brazil leverages biomass feedstock, Argentina revives RenovAr, and Colombia maps 340 off-grid communities. In the Gulf, oil companies deploy hybrid systems to cut diesel burn, while South Africa’s utilities approve private microgrids to offset chronic load-shedding.

Competitive Landscape

The top 10 suppliers in the microgrid market control roughly 45% of global revenue, reflecting a moderately fragmented structure. Vertical integrators, ABB, Siemens, Schneider Electric, bundle hardware with proprietary controllers and long-term service contracts. Software specialists such as Heila Technologies differentiate through AI-based dispatch that can shave curtailment by nearly one-fifth. Defense and disaster-recovery tenders favor turnkey providers like Ameresco, which combine EPC execution with 20-year performance guarantees. Emerging plays center on grid-forming inverter upgrades, cyber-security overlays, and per-kWh energy-as-a-service models. Recent M&A saw Siemens acquire EV-charging integrator Heliox, while Eaton took a majority stake in Runstone Technology to deepen its presence in China’s distributed-energy segment. Standards updates, IEEE 1547-2018 and IEC 62443, are shaking out under-capitalized component vendors, consolidating share among firms with in-house power-electronics and cyber-security expertise.

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

• ABB Ltd
• Siemens AG
• Schneider Electric SE
• General Electric Company
• Hitachi Energy Ltd
• Eaton Corporation PLC
• Honeywell International Inc.
• Toshiba Corporation
• S&C Electric Company
• ENGIE EPS SA
• Standard Microgrid Inc.
• PowerSecure Inc.
• Bloom Energy Corporation
• Caterpillar Inc.
• Wartsila Corporation
• Rolls-Royce Power Systems AG (MTU)
• Ameresco Inc.
• Tesla Inc.
• Enphase Energy Inc.
• Heila Technologies
• Spirae LLC
• Xendee Corporation
• HOMER Energy LLC
• AutoGrid Systems

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape
4.1 Market Overview
4.2 Market Drivers
4.2.1 Accelerated Rural Electrification in Africa & South Asia
4.2.2 IT/OT Convergence Spurs Advanced Microgrid Controllers in North America
4.2.3 Modular “Box” Microgrids for Disaster-Recovery in Caribbean Islands
4.2.4 Utility-led Community Resilience Programs in U.S. & Australia
4.2.5 Grid-Forming Inverters Enabling 90%+ Renewables in Nordic Markets
4.2.6 Defense-Funded Net-Zero Bases Driving Hybrid Microgrids (NATO & INDOPACOM)
4.3 Market Restraints
4.3.1 Fragmented Codes Stalling Inter-connection Approvals in U.S. States
4.3.2 Subsidy Claw-Back Risk in India’s PM-KUSUM Programme
4.3.3 Lithium-ion Price Volatility Disrupting CAPEX Planning 2024-25
4.3.4 Limited Cyber-security Standards for Multi-Vendor Projects
4.4 Supply-Chain Analysis
4.5 Regulatory Outlook (Targets, Policies)
4.6 Technological Outlook
4.7 Porter’s Five Forces
4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts
5.1 By Connectivity
5.1.1 Grid-Connected Microgrids
5.1.2 Off-Grid/Islanded Microgrids
5.2 By Offering
5.2.1 Hardware (Power Generators, Energy-Storage Systems, Power Converters & Inverters, and Controllers)
5.2.2 Software (Energy Management Platforms, and Microgrid Controllers)
5.2.3 Services (Engineering, Procurement & Construction (EPC), Operations & Maintenance (O&M), and Consulting & Advisory)
5.3 By Power Source
5.3.1 Solar Photovoltaic (PV)
5.3.2 Combined Heat and Power (Natural Gas)
5.3.3 Diesel Generators
5.3.4 Wind
5.3.5 Fuel Cells
5.3.6 Others (Biomass, Hydro)
5.4 By Type
5.4.1 AC Microgrids
5.4.2 DC Microgrids
5.4.3 Hybrid AC/DC Microgrids
5.5 By Power Rating
5.5.1 Below 1 MW
5.5.2 1 to 5 MW
5.5.3 5 to 10 MW
5.5.4 Above 10 MW
5.6 By End-User
5.6.1 Utilities
5.6.2 Commercial and Industrial
5.6.3 Residential
5.7 By Geography
5.7.1 North America
5.7.1.1 United States
5.7.1.2 Canada
5.7.1.3 Mexico
5.7.2 Europe
5.7.2.1 United Kingdom
5.7.2.2 Germany
5.7.2.3 France
5.7.2.4 Spain
5.7.2.5 Nordic Countries
5.7.2.6 Russia
5.7.2.7 Rest of Europe
5.7.3 Asia-Pacific
5.7.3.1 China
5.7.3.2 India
5.7.3.3 Japan
5.7.3.4 South Korea
5.7.3.5 ASEAN Countries
5.7.3.6 Rest of Asia-Pacific
5.7.4 South America
5.7.4.1 Brazil
5.7.4.2 Argentina
5.7.4.3 Colombia
5.7.4.4 Rest of South America
5.7.5 Middle East and Africa
5.7.5.1 United Arab Emirates
5.7.5.2 Saudi Arabia
5.7.5.3 South Africa
5.7.5.4 Egypt
5.7.5.5 Rest of Middle East and Africa

6 Competitive Landscape
6.1 Market Concentration
6.2 Strategic Moves (M&A, Partnerships, PPAs)
6.3 Market Share Analysis (Market Rank/Share for key companies)
6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Products & Services, and Recent Developments)
6.4.1 ABB Ltd
6.4.2 Siemens AG
6.4.3 Schneider Electric SE
6.4.4 General Electric Company
6.4.5 Hitachi Energy Ltd
6.4.6 Eaton Corporation PLC
6.4.7 Honeywell International Inc.
6.4.8 Toshiba Corporation
6.4.9 S&C Electric Company
6.4.10 ENGIE EPS SA
6.4.11 Standard Microgrid Inc.
6.4.12 PowerSecure Inc.
6.4.13 Bloom Energy Corporation
6.4.14 Caterpillar Inc.
6.4.15 Wartsila Corporation
6.4.16 Rolls-Royce Power Systems AG (MTU)
6.4.17 Ameresco Inc.
6.4.18 Tesla Inc.
6.4.19 Enphase Energy Inc.
6.4.20 Heila Technologies
6.4.21 Spirae LLC
6.4.22 Xendee Corporation
6.4.23 HOMER Energy LLC
6.4.24 AutoGrid Systems

7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook
7.1 White-space & Unmet-Need Assessment

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