ブルーカーボン市場 2026-2036年

ブルーカーボンの市場規模は2025年に7億2,000万米ドルとなり、2026年に8億8,000万米ドルになることが見込まれています。予測期間（2026年～2036年）には年平均成長率（CAGR）23.5%で成長し、2036年には73億米ドルに達するとDataNext Researchでは予測しています。

この市場の急速な拡大は、主に以下の要因によって推進されています。

• 沿岸・海洋生態系が高密度な炭素吸収源であるという認識が世界的に高まっている
• 「昆明・モントリオール生物多様性枠組（GBF）」のような国際的な自然関連ファイナンスの枠組みが導入されている
• 信頼性の高い（インテグリティの高い）炭素除去クレジットに対する企業の需要が急増している

科学的根拠に基づいたオフセット（排出相殺）を用いてネットゼロ目標を達成するという圧力が世界中の組織にかかる中、ブルーカーボンは、生物多様性や沿岸地域のレジリエンス（回復力）向上といった大きな「コ・ベネフィット（付随的便益）」をもたらす、自然を活用したソリューション（NbS）の有力な選択肢として浮上しています。さらに、東南アジアやオーストラリアなどの地域における大規模な生態系再生への国家的な取り組みや、変動の激しい潮間帯環境における炭素量の定量化という長年の課題を解決するデジタルMRV（測定・報告・検証）技術の導入も、市場の拡大を後押ししています。

DataNext Research（データネクストリサーチ）「ブルーカーボン市場の規模・シェア・動向分析：生態系タイプ（マングローブ、海草藻場、潮汐湿地・塩性湿地、ケルプ・大型藻類）、サービスタイプ（プロジェクト開発・再生、カーボンクレジット開発、デジタルMRV・モニタリング）、エンドユーザー（企業・機関投資家、政府・規制当局、非営利団体）、および地域別 — 世界市場の機会分析と業界予測（2026～2036年） – Blue Carbon Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis by Ecosystem Type (Mangroves, Seagrass Meadows, Tidal Marshes & Saltmarshes, Kelp & Macroalgae), Service Type (Project Development & Restoration, Carbon Credit Development, Digital MRV & Monitoring), End User (Corporates & Institutional Buyers, Governments & Regulators, Non-Profit Organizations), and Geography — Global Opportunity Analysis and Industry Forecast (2026–2036)」は沿岸・海洋生態系が光合成により二酸化炭素を取り込み、その後海底や深海に蓄積される炭素、ブルーカーボンの世界市場を調査し、主要セグメント別に分析・予測を行っています。

調査対象セグメント

• 生態系タイプ
  • マングローブ
  • 海草藻場
  • 潮汐湿地＆塩性湿地
  • ケルプ＆大型藻類
  • その他の沿岸・海洋生態系
•  サービスタイプ
  • プロジェクト開発・再生サービス
  • カーボンクレジット開発サービス
  • デジタルMRV・モニタリング
  • その他
•  エンドユーザー
  • 企業＆機関投資家
  • 政府＆規制当局
  • 非営利団体（NPO）
  • その他
• 地域
  • 北米
    • 米国
    • カナダ
  • 欧州
    • 英国
    • オランダ
    • フランス
    • ドイツ
    • その他の欧州
  • アジア太平洋地域
    • インドネシア
    • オーストラリア
    • 中国
    • インド
    • ベトナム
    • その他のアジア太平洋地域
  • ラテンアメリカ
    • ブラジル
    • メキシコ
    • コロンビア
    • その他のラテンアメリカ
  • 中東＆アフリカ
    • アラブ首長国連邦（UAE）
    • サウジアラビア
    • ケニア
    • その他の中東＆アフリカ

ブルーカーボン市場の主要ハイライト

• 世界のブルーカーボン市場は、2026年から2036年にかけて年平均成長率（CAGR）23.5%で推移し、2036年には73億米ドルに達すると予測されています。
• 2026年時点において、アジア太平洋地域は世界のブルーカーボン市場で最大のシェア（総収益の約48%）を占める見込みです。これは、インドネシアが世界最大の広さのマングローブ林を擁していることや、南アジアおよび東南アジア全域で大規模な再生プロジェクトが展開されていることが主な要因です。
• 生態系区分としてはマングローブが圧倒的なシェアを占めており、ブルーカーボン・クレジットの発行量およびプロジェクト収益の大半を担っています。これは、マングローブが高い炭素貯留密度を持ち、手法（メソドロジー）が確立されており、かつクレジットが高価格（プレミアム価格）で取引されているためです。
• サービス区分では「プロジェクト開発・再生」が最大であり、土地や事業権の確保、生態系の再生、長期的なプロジェクト管理といった領域から収益を生み出しています。
• 「デジタルMRV（測定・報告・検証）およびモニタリング」は最も急成長しているサービス分野です。潮汐の影響を受ける動的な環境下での土壌炭素測定の難しさや、永続性リスクを管理する必要性がその成長を後押ししています。
• ブルーカーボン・クレジットは、希少性、強力なコ・ベネフィット（付随的便益）、そして高い信頼性（インテグリティ）への評価から、他の自然由来のクレジットよりも高い価格（プレミアム）で取引されており、通常1クレジットあたり15～35米ドルの範囲で取引されています。
• 「昆明・モントリオール生物多様性枠組」、各国による再生への取り組み、そして企業のネットゼロ（温室効果ガス排出実質ゼロ）目標達成に向けた需要の高まりが、沿岸生態系の保全・再生への投資を拡大させています。
• 現在までに発行されたブルーカーボン・クレジットの大半はVerra（ベラ）によって認証されていますが、Gold Standard（ゴールド・スタンダード）やオーストラリアのクリーン・エネルギー規制当局（Clean Energy Regulator）による新たな手法の導入により、クレジット発行の対象となる範囲が拡大しています。
• パリ協定第6条や各国政府による沿岸再生プログラムは、ボランタリー・カーボン・マーケット（自主的炭素市場）の枠を超えた新たな需要の創出につながっています。

世界のブルーカーボン市場は、生態系タイプ（マングローブ、海草藻場、潮汐湿地・塩性湿地、コンブ・大型藻類）、サービスタイプ（プロジェクト開発・再生、カーボンクレジット開発、デジタルMRV・モニタリング）、エンドユーザー（企業・機関投資家、政府・規制当局、非営利団体）、および地域別に区分されています。本調査では、業界の競合他社を対象に含めるとともに、国別の市場分析も行っています。

エンドユーザー別に見ると、2026年には企業および機関投資家セグメントが市場シェアの大部分を占めると予測されています。グローバル企業は、気候変動対策、生物多様性の保全、沿岸地域のレジリエンス（回復力）強化といった複合的な便益を求めてブルーカーボン・クレジットの調達を拡大しており、陸域のクレジットに比べて大幅に高い価格（プレミアム）を支払うケースも少なくありません。一方、政府・規制当局セグメントも急速な成長を遂げています。これは、パリ協定第6条の運用開始や、ブルーカーボンを国家の気候変動戦略に組み込んだ沿岸生態系再生への取り組みが各国で進められていることによるものです。

Report Description

Blue Carbon Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis by Ecosystem Type (Mangroves, Seagrass Meadows, Tidal Marshes & Saltmarshes, Kelp & Macroalgae), Service Type (Project Development & Restoration, Carbon Credit Development, Digital MRV & Monitoring), End User (Corporates & Institutional Buyers, Governments & Regulators, Non-Profit Organizations), and Geography — Global Opportunity Analysis and Industry Forecast (2026–2036)

According to the latest research report titled, ‘Blue Carbon Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis by Ecosystem Type, Service Type, End User, and Geography—Global Forecast to 2036,’ the global blue carbon market was valued at USD 720 million in 2025. The market is projected to reach USD 7.3 billion by 2036 from an estimated USD 880 million in 2026, growing at a CAGR of 23.5% during the forecast period (2026–2036). The rapid expansion of this market is primarily driven by the increasing global recognition of coastal and marine ecosystems as high-density carbon sinks, the implementation of international nature finance frameworks like the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, and the surging corporate demand for high-integrity carbon removal credits. As organizations worldwide face intensifying pressure to meet net-zero targets with scientifically rigorous offsets, blue carbon has emerged as a premium nature-based solution that offers significant co-benefits for biodiversity and coastal resilience. The market is further propelled by large-scale national restoration commitments in regions like Southeast Asia and Australia, and the integration of digital Measurement, Reporting, and Verification (dMRV) technologies that are addressing the long-standing challenges of carbon quantification in dynamic tidal environments.

The global blue carbon market is currently navigating a profound structural transformation, a shift that is fundamentally redefining the relationship between coastal conservation and global climate finance. This transformation is anchored by the transition from ‘community-led pilots’ toward ‘large-scale institutional restoration.’ Historically, blue carbon projects were small-scale, localized efforts often funded by grants and focused on immediate ecological restoration. Today, the industry is pivoting toward ‘industrialized nature-based removals,’ characterized by the deployment of institutional capital into massive restoration projects that span hundreds of thousands of hectares. This shift is not merely a technological upgrade but a fundamental change in the operational philosophy of the sector, where coastal ecosystems are being managed as high-value climate assets. The move toward ‘Article 6 Sovereign Transactions’ represents a paradigm shift, where nations are integrating blue carbon into their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and participating in government-backed international credit transfers.

Another pivotal dimension of this transformation is the rapid ‘convergence of blue carbon, biodiversity, and resilience finance.’ While early projects focused almost exclusively on carbon sequestration, the modern market is seeing an unprecedented surge in demand for ‘multi-benefit’ credits that simultaneously track ecosystem health and the protection of coastal infrastructure against sea-level rise. This integration is being accelerated by new standards and methodologies that allow for the stacking of carbon and biodiversity credits, effectively turning coastal restoration into a multi-revenue stream asset class. Furthermore, the industry is witnessing a significant move toward ‘digital blue carbon monitoring.’ The adoption of high-resolution satellite imagery, acoustic sensors, and AI-driven soil carbon modeling is revolutionizing the field by automating the measurement of carbon fluxes in waterlogged environments, ensuring that credits are grounded in real-time, verifiable evidence. Simultaneously, the market is experiencing a wave of ‘methodological expansion,’ where established registries like Verra and Gold Standard are developing new protocols for seagrass and tidal marsh ecosystems, broadening the creditable base of the market. The convergence of these trends—institutional scaling, multi-benefit finance, and digital verification—is positioning blue carbon as the indispensable foundational technology for the global transition toward a regenerative and resilient ocean economy.

Key Highlights – Blue Carbon Market

• The global blue carbon market is expected to reach USD 7.3 billion by 2036, at a CAGR of 23.5% from 2026 to 2036.
• Asia-Pacific accounts for the largest share of the global blue carbon market in 2026, holding around 48% of total revenue, driven by the world’s largest mangrove reserves in Indonesia and major restoration projects across South and Southeast Asia.
• Mangroves are the dominant ecosystem segment, accounting for the large majority of blue carbon credit issuance and project revenue, reflecting their high carbon density, established methodologies, and premium credit pricing.
• Project Development and Restoration is the largest service-type segment, capturing revenue across land and concession access, ecological restoration, and long-term project management.
• Digital MRV and Monitoring is the fastest-growing service category, driven by the difficulty of measuring soil carbon in dynamic tidal environments and the need to manage permanence risk.
• Blue carbon credits command a premium over other nature-based credits, typically trading between USD 15 and USD 35 per credit due to their scarcity, strong co-benefits, and high integrity perception.
• The Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, national restoration commitments, and corporate net-zero demand are expanding investment in coastal ecosystem conservation and restoration.
• Verra certifies the large majority of blue carbon credits issued to date, while new methodologies from Gold Standard and Australia’s Clean Energy Regulator are broadening the creditable base.
• Article 6 of the Paris Agreement and sovereign coastal restoration programs are creating new demand channels beyond the voluntary carbon market.

Market Segmentation Analysis

The global blue carbon market is segmented by ecosystem type (mangroves, seagrass meadows, tidal marshes & saltmarshes, and kelp & macroalgae), service type (project development & restoration, carbon credit development, and digital MRV & monitoring), end user (corporates & institutional buyers, governments & regulators, and non-profit organizations), and geography. The study evaluation includes industry competitors and analyzes the market at the country level.

Based on Ecosystem Type

By ecosystem type, the mangroves segment is expected to hold the largest share of the global blue carbon market in 2026. This dominance is due to the high carbon density of mangrove forests, which can sequester up to ten times more carbon per hectare than terrestrial forests. Mangroves also feature the most established crediting methodologies and have a long history of successful project implementation, particularly in Southeast Asia. However, the seagrass meadows segment is projected to register the highest CAGR during the forecast period. The growth of this segment is fueled by the vast untapped potential of seagrass restoration and the development of new, scalable methodologies that allow for the accurate quantification of carbon sequestration in submerged marine environments.

Based on Service Type

By service type, the project development & restoration segment is expected to hold the largest share in 2026. This segment captures the core revenue associated with land access, ecological restoration, and long-term project management. The high capital requirements for large-scale coastal restoration provide a steady revenue stream for specialized developers. Conversely, the digital MRV & monitoring segment is projected to grow at a significant rate. The increasing demand for ‘high-integrity’ credits and the difficulty of measuring soil carbon in dynamic tidal environments are driving the adoption of advanced remote sensing and AI-based monitoring tools to ensure the permanence and additionality of blue carbon projects.

Based on End User

By end user, the corporates & institutional buyers segment is expected to be the major contributor to the market share in 2026. Global enterprises are increasingly sourcing blue carbon credits for their combined climate, biodiversity, and coastal resilience benefits, often paying a significant premium over terrestrial credits. Meanwhile, the governments & regulators segment is witnessing rapid growth, driven by the operationalization of Article 6 of the Paris Agreement and the implementation of national restoration commitments that integrate blue carbon into sovereign climate strategies.

Geographic Analysis

In 2026, Asia-Pacific is expected to account for the largest share of the global blue carbon market, representing approximately 48% of the total global revenue. The region’s commanding position is anchored by its vast coastal ecosystems, including the world’s largest mangrove reserves in Indonesia. The Indonesian government’s ambitious target to restore 600,000 hectares of mangroves is a primary driver of regional growth. Furthermore, major restoration projects in Pakistan, such as the Delta Blue Carbon project spanning 350,000 hectares, are significantly scaling the supply of high-quality credits. The region is also a hub for blue carbon science and restoration expertise, home to many of the world’s leading project developers. The key companies operating in the Asia-Pacific market include Indus Delta Capital, Worldview International Foundation, and regional subsidiaries of global verifiers like SGS SA and Bureau Veritas.

North America holds a substantial market share, representing approximately 22% of the global market in 2026. The region’s position is driven by a strong focus on tidal marsh and seagrass restoration, particularly in the United States and Canada. The adoption of blue carbon in North America is also being accelerated by the high demand from institutional investors for climate-resilient assets and the presence of leading nature-tech firms that are developing next-generation MRV solutions. The U.S. government’s significant investment in coastal resilience and ‘Blue Economy’ initiatives provides a foundational framework that supports the commercial blue carbon ecosystem. The key companies operating in the North American market include The Nature Conservancy, Conservation International, Planet Labs PBC, and Silvestrum Climate Associates.

Europe represents a substantial and highly sophisticated segment of the market, accounting for approximately 18% of global revenue in 2026. The region’s market dynamics are characterized by a strong emphasis on environmental regulation and a highly coordinated approach to marine conservation. European nations, particularly the UK, Netherlands, and Norway, have been at the forefront of developing rigorous standards for blue carbon and are early adopters of ‘Blue Finance’ mechanisms. The European market is also distinguished by its leadership in kelp and macroalgae restoration, which is emerging as a significant new growth frontier. The presence of numerous innovative climate-tech firms in the London and Amsterdam clusters fosters a highly competitive environment. The key companies operating in the European market include South Pole, Vlinder, Sylvera Ltd., and BeZero Carbon Ltd.

Latin America and the Middle East & Africa (MEA) represent critical emerging frontiers for the blue carbon market, where the demand for restoration technologies is rising in tandem with conservation efforts. In Latin America, growth is driven by the vast mangrove ecosystems in Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia, where projects are increasingly utilizing digital platforms to demonstrate deforestation-free sourcing and social responsibility. In the Middle East, the market is propelled by ambitious government-led development plans, such as the UAE’s and Saudi Arabia’s mangrove planting initiatives, which include massive investments in coastal restoration as part of their national climate targets. In Africa, the market is in the early stages of development but presents significant long-term potential for improving coastal resilience and food security through blue carbon projects. The key companies operating in these regions include Blue Carbon LLC and global developers who partner with specialized local agencies to provide technical expertise.

Key Players

The key players operating in the global blue carbon market include Indus Delta Capital (Delta Blue Carbon) (Pakistan), Blue Ventures (U.K.), Worldview International Foundation (Norway), The Nature Conservancy (U.S.), Conservation International (U.S.), Blue Marine Foundation (U.K.), South Pole (Switzerland), Vlinder (Austria), SeaTrees (Sustainable Surf) (U.S.), Blue Carbon LLC (UAE), Everland LLC (U.S.), Verra (U.S.), Plan Vivo Foundation (U.K.), Gold Standard (Switzerland), Silvestrum Climate Associates (U.S.), NatureMetrics (U.K.), Planet Labs PBC (U.S.), Space Intelligence Ltd. (U.K.), Sylvera Ltd. (U.K.), BeZero Carbon Ltd. (U.K.), Calyx Global (U.S.), Pollination Group (Australia), ERM (Environmental Resources Management) (U.K.), Climate Asset Management (U.K.), SGS SA (Switzerland), Bureau Veritas (France), DNV (Norway), SCS Global Services (U.S.), and Control Union (Netherlands).

Key Questions Answered in the Report—

• What is the projected size of the global blue carbon market by 2036?

The global blue carbon market is projected to reach USD 7.3 billion by 2036.

• What is the expected CAGR for the market during the forecast period?

The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 23.5% from 2026 to 2036.

• Which ecosystem segment is expected to hold the major share of the market in 2026?

The mangroves segment is expected to hold the largest share due to its high carbon density and established methodologies.

• Which geographical region is expected to dominate the market in 2026?

Asia-Pacific is expected to dominate the market with a 48% share, driven by the world’s largest mangrove reserves.

• How is the implementation of Article 6 impacting the blue carbon market?

Article 6 is enabling sovereign-backed international credit transfers, facilitating large-scale institutional investment.

• What is the role of digital MRV in the growth of the blue carbon market?

Digital MRV automates the measurement of carbon in dynamic tidal environments, ensuring the integrity and transparency of credits.

• Why do blue carbon credits command a price premium over terrestrial credits?

They command a premium due to their scarcity, high integrity perception, and significant co-benefits for biodiversity and resilience.

• Which service segment is projected to grow at the fastest CAGR?

The digital MRV & monitoring segment is projected to grow the fastest, driven by the need for continuous, verifiable evidence.

Scope of the Report:

Blue Carbon Market Assessment — by Ecosystem Type

• Mangroves
• Seagrass Meadows
• Tidal Marshes & Saltmarshes
• Kelp & Macroalgae
• Other Coastal & Marine Ecosystems

Blue Carbon Market Assessment — by Service Type

• Project Development & Restoration Services
• Carbon Credit Development Services
• Digital MRV & Monitoring
• Others

Blue Carbon Market Assessment — by End User

• Corporates & Institutional Buyers
• Governments & Regulators
• Non-Profit Organizations
• Others

Blue Carbon Market Assessment — by Geography

• North America (U.S., Canada)
• Europe (U.K., Netherlands, France, Germany, Rest of Europe)
• Asia-Pacific (Indonesia, Australia, China, India, Vietnam, Rest of Asia-Pacific)
• Latin America (Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, Rest of Latin America)
• Middle East & Africa (UAE, Saudi Arabia, Kenya, Rest of MEA)

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