自然を活用した気候変動対策（NbS）市場　2026-2036年

「自然を活用した気候変動対策（Nature-Based Climate Solutions）市場：ソリューション別、サービス別、エンドユーザー別、地域別の市場規模・シェア・動向分析 — 2036年までの世界予測」と題された最新の調査レポートによると、2025年における同市場の規模は52億米ドルでした。同市場は、2026年の推定61億米ドルから2036年には274億米ドルに成長し、予測期間（2026年～2036年）の年平均成長率（CAGR）は16.2%に達するとDataNext Researchでは予測しています。

この市場の力強い成長は、主に以下の要因によって推進されています。すなわち、「ネイチャー・ポジティブ（自然再興）」な気候変動対策への世界的な関心の高まり、企業による厳格なネットゼロ目標の導入、そして「昆明・モントリオール生物多様性枠組」といった国際的な自然関連ファイナンスの枠組みの拡大です。世界中の組織が、カーボンオフセットの質やサプライチェーンが自然生態系に及ぼす影響について厳しい監視の目にさらされる中、自然を活用した気候変動対策は、信頼性の高い炭素除去と生態系回復を実現するための極めて重要な基盤的メカニズムとして浮上しています。さらに、デジタルMRV（測定・報告・検証）技術の成熟や、パリ協定第6条の運用統合も市場の拡大を後押ししており、これらは沿岸域、森林、農業分野における炭素吸収源への、国家や機関投資家による大規模な投資を促進しています。

「自然を活用した気候変動対策（NbS）」市場のハイライト

• 世界の自然を活用した気候変動対策市場は、2026年から2036年にかけて年平均成長率（CAGR）16.2%で推移し、2036年には274億米ドルに達すると予測されています。
• 2026年時点において、北米は世界の同市場で最大のシェア（総収益の約33%）を占めています。これは、企業によるネットゼロ達成への需要の集中、確立されたカーボンクレジット購入者の存在、そしてプロジェクト開発事業者、MRV（測定・報告・検証）プラットフォーム、アドバイザリー企業からなる強固な基盤に支えられています。
• 「森林保全（REDD+）」および「造林・再植林」は、ソリューションの種類別セグメントにおいて最大規模を占めています。これは、森林カーボンプロジェクトの規模の大きさと、ボランタリーおよびコンプライアンス・カーボン市場におけるそれらの中心的な役割を反映しています。
• 「プロジェクト開発」および「カーボン・生物多様性クレジット開発サービス」は、サービスの種類別セグメントで最大となっています。これらの活動は、案件組成（オリジネーション）、手法の適用、クレジット発行、商業化に至る一連のプロセスにおいて価値を生み出しているためです。
• 「デジタルMRVおよびネイチャー・インテリジェンス・プラットフォーム」は、2036年まで最も高い成長率を示すサービス分野になると予測されています。広大な地域を対象とした、拡張性・透明性が高く、費用対効果に優れたモニタリングへの需要がその成長を牽引しています。
• 企業のネットゼロ宣言、SBTiのFLAG（森林・土地・農業）目標、TNFD（自然関連財務情報開示タスクフォース）に準拠した自然関連情報の開示などが、信頼性の高い自然活用型プロジェクトへの需要を喚起する主要な要因となっています。
• パリ協定第6条に支えられたボランタリーおよびコンプライアンス・カーボン市場は、プロジェクト収益の基盤となっており、需要を「除去（removal）」や「自然再生（nature-restoration）」型のクレジットへとシフトさせています。
• ブルーカーボン、生物多様性クレジット、生態系再生といった分野は、収益源を林業以外にも多様化させ、新たな高付加価値プロジェクトのカテゴリーを創出しています。同時に、UNEP（国連環境計画）が指摘した巨額の「自然関連資金ギャップ」を埋めるべく、機関投資家やブレンド・ファイナンス（公的・民間資金の組み合わせ）による資金が市場に流入し始めています。

世界の「自然を活用した気候変動対策（NbS）」市場は、ソリューションの種類（森林・土地利用、再生型農業・土壌炭素、ブルーカーボン・沿岸生態系、泥炭地・湿地の再生）、サービスの種類（プロジェクト開発・実施、デジタルMRV・自然インテリジェンス、アドバイザリー・取引サービス、検証・クレジット発行）、エンドユーザー（企業・機関投資家、プロジェクト開発事業者、政府・規制当局）、および地域別に区分されています。本調査では、業界の競合他社を対象に含めるとともに、国別の市場分析も行っています。

ソリューション別に見ると、2026年には「林業・土地利用」セグメントが世界の「自然を活用した気候変動対策（NbS）」市場において最大のシェアを占めると予測されています。この優位性は、REDD+や植林プロジェクトに関する手法が確立されていることや、熱帯・温帯の森林生態系が持つ高い炭素吸収・貯留能力に起因しています。一方、予測期間中には「ブルーカーボン・沿岸生態系」セグメントが最も高い年平均成長率（CAGR）を記録すると見込まれています。このセグメントの成長を後押ししているのは、マングローブ、海草藻場、塩性湿地が、生物多様性の保全や沿岸地域のレジリエンス（回復力）向上といった優れた「コベネフィット（付随的便益）」をもたらす高密度な炭素吸収源として認識されつつある点です。こうした特性により、これらのプロジェクトはボランタリーカーボン市場において高い価格プレミアムで取引されることが多くなっています。

Report Description

According to the latest research report titled, ‘Nature-Based Climate Solutions Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis by Solution Type, Service Type, End User, and Geography—Global Forecast to 2036,’ the global nature-based climate solutions market was valued at USD 5.2 billion in 2025. The market is projected to reach USD 27.4 billion by 2036 from an estimated USD 6.1 billion in 2026, growing at a CAGR of 16.2% during the forecast period (2026–2036). The robust growth of this market is primarily driven by the intensifying global focus on nature-positive climate action, the implementation of stringent corporate net-zero commitments, and the expansion of international nature finance frameworks such as the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework. As organizations worldwide face increasing scrutiny regarding the quality of their carbon offsets and the impact of their supply chains on natural ecosystems, nature-based climate solutions have emerged as the critical foundational mechanism for delivering high-integrity carbon removals and ecosystem restoration. The market is further propelled by the maturation of digital Measurement, Reporting, and Verification (dMRV) technologies and the integration of Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, which are facilitating large-scale sovereign and institutional investment into coastal, forest, and agricultural carbon reserves.

The global nature-based climate solutions market is currently navigating a profound structural transformation, a shift that is fundamentally redefining the relationship between corporate accountability and the restoration of the planet’s natural carbon sinks. This transformation is anchored by the transition from ‘episodic project development’ toward ‘continuous nature intelligence.’ Historically, nature-based projects were often fragmented efforts relying on manual field samples and periodic audits that provided limited visibility into long-term ecological outcomes. Today, the industry is pivoting toward ‘dynamic planetary monitoring,’ characterized by the deployment of unified platforms that integrate high-resolution satellite imagery, on-the-ground IoT sensors, and AI-driven models to provide a constant stream of verifiable evidence. This shift is not merely a technological upgrade but a fundamental change in the operational philosophy of the sector, where ‘trust’ is being engineered directly into the data layer through digital serialization and automated assurance protocols.

Key Highlights – Nature-Based Climate Solutions Market

• The global nature-based climate solutions market is expected to reach USD 27.4 billion by 2036, at a CAGR of 16.2% from 2026 to 2036.
• North America accounts for the largest share of the global nature-based climate solutions market in 2026, holding around 33% of total revenue, driven by concentrated corporate net-zero demand, established carbon credit buyers, and a large base of project developers, MRV platforms, and advisory firms.
• Forest Conservation (REDD+) and Afforestation & Reforestation together represent the largest solution-type segment, reflecting the scale of forest carbon projects and their central role in voluntary and compliance carbon markets.
• Project Development and Carbon & Biodiversity Credit Development Services form the largest service-type segment, as these activities capture value across origination, methodology application, credit issuance, and commercialization.
• Digital MRV & Nature Intelligence Platforms are projected to be the fastest-growing service category through 2036, driven by demand for scalable, transparent, and cost-effective monitoring across large landscapes.
• Corporate net-zero commitments, SBTi FLAG targets, and TNFD-aligned nature disclosure are emerging as the primary commercial drivers of demand for high-integrity nature-based projects.
• Voluntary and compliance carbon markets, supported by Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, anchor project revenue and are shifting demand toward removal and nature-restoration credits.
• Blue carbon, biodiversity credits, and ecosystem restoration are diversifying revenue beyond forestry and creating new high-value project categories, while the substantial nature finance gap identified by UNEP is mobilizing institutional and blended capital into the market.

Another pivotal dimension of this transformation is the rapid ‘convergence of carbon, nature, and supply-chain intelligence.’ While monitoring emissions, assessing biodiversity, and managing agricultural sourcing previously operated in separate silos, the modern market is seeing an unprecedented surge in demand for integrated platforms that can simultaneously track carbon sequestration, ecosystem health, and financial risk. This integration is being accelerated by new regulatory frameworks, such as the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) and the Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures (TNFD), which require companies to demonstrate that their operations are both climate-resilient and nature-positive. Furthermore, the industry is witnessing a significant move toward ‘AI-enabled methodological automation.’ The adoption of foundation models specifically trained on environmental datasets is revolutionizing the field by automating the mapping of complex habitats—such as mangroves and peatlands—and reducing the time required for field verification by up to 90%. Simultaneously, the market is experiencing a wave of ‘institutional scaling,’ where established standards like Verra and Gold Standard are integrating digital MRV protocols directly into their issuance workflows. The convergence of these trends—continuous monitoring, nature-carbon integration, and automated verification—is positioning nature-based climate solutions as the indispensable foundational technology for the global transition toward a high-integrity and transparent green economy.

Market Segmentation Analysis

The global nature-based climate solutions market is segmented by solution type (forestry & land use, regenerative agriculture & soil carbon, blue carbon & coastal ecosystems, and peatlands & wetlands restoration), service type (project development & implementation, digital MRV & nature intelligence, advisory & transaction services, and verification & credit issuance), end user (corporates & institutional buyers, project developers, and governments & regulators), and geography. The study evaluation includes industry competitors and analyzes the market at the country level.

Based on Solution Type

By solution type, the forestry & land use segment is expected to hold the largest share of the global nature-based climate solutions market in 2026. This dominance is driven by the mature methodologies for REDD+ and afforestation projects, and the significant carbon sequestration potential of tropical and temperate forest ecosystems. However, the blue carbon & coastal ecosystems segment is projected to register the highest CAGR during the forecast period. The growth of this segment is fueled by the increasing recognition of mangroves, seagrasses, and saltmarshes as high-density carbon sinks that offer superior co-benefits for biodiversity and coastal resilience, often commanding a significant price premium in voluntary carbon markets.

Based on Service Type

By service type, the project development & implementation segment is expected to hold the largest share in 2026. This segment captures the core revenue associated with land access, ecological restoration, and long-term project management. The high capital requirements for large-scale nature-based projects provide a steady revenue stream for specialized developers. Conversely, the digital MRV & nature intelligence segment is projected to grow at a significant rate. The increasing demand for ‘high-integrity’ credits and the need to manage permanence and leakage risks are driving the adoption of advanced remote sensing and AI-based monitoring tools to ensure the scientific validity of environmental outcomes.

Based on End User

By end user, the corporates & institutional buyers segment is expected to be the major contributor to the market share in 2026. Enterprises are utilizing nature-based solutions to manage their Scope 3 emissions, verify the quality of their carbon credit portfolios, and comply with emerging nature disclosure laws. Meanwhile, the project developers segment is witnessing rapid growth, fueled by the surge in nature-based removal projects that require efficient, low-cost verification to monetize their environmental outcomes. Governments and regulators are also adopting these tools to manage national carbon inventories and implement large-scale restoration policies under international climate agreements.

Geographic Analysis

In 2026, North America is expected to account for the largest share of the global nature-based climate solutions market, representing approximately 33% of the total global revenue. The region’s commanding position is anchored by a unique combination of high institutional demand and a high concentration of technology providers. The United States, in particular, is the primary driver of this regional market, featuring a mature financial sector that is an early adopter of climate risk and carbon analytics. The adoption of nature-based solutions in North America has been significantly accelerated by pioneering climate disclosure laws and the increasing focus on high-integrity carbon removals. Furthermore, the region is a global hub for AI, cloud computing, and private space technology innovation, home to several of the world’s leading firms that are integrating environmental data into broader enterprise management platforms. The key companies operating in the North American market include Anew Climate, LLC, Finite Carbon, and Planet Labs PBC.

Europe represents a substantial and highly sophisticated segment of the market, accounting for approximately 29% of global revenue in 2026. The region’s market dynamics are characterized by a strong emphasis on environmental regulation and a highly coordinated approach to nature recovery. European nations, particularly the UK, France, and Germany, have been at the forefront of developing rigorous regulatory frameworks, such as the EU Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) and the EU Nature Restoration Law. These policies mandate the extensive use of specialized software for supply-chain verification and climate disclosure. The European market is also distinguished by its leadership in ‘voluntary nature markets,’ where digital platforms are being used to connect institutional investors with restoration projects. The presence of numerous innovative climate-tech firms in the London and Paris clusters fosters a highly competitive environment. The key companies operating in the European market include South Pole, ClimatePartner GmbH, and Anthesis Group.

Asia-Pacific is projected to be the most dynamic and fastest-growing region in the global nature-based climate solutions market, registering the highest CAGR during the forecast period. This rapid expansion is primarily driven by the region’s high climate vulnerability and its central role in global manufacturing and nature-based carbon projects. As nations like China, Japan, India, and Australia adopt international disclosure standards and implement domestic emissions trading schemes, there is an unprecedented surge in demand for scalable and affordable digital verification solutions. China’s focus on ‘Ecological Civilization’ and its massive investments in large-scale reforestation and wetland restoration are transformative policy drivers. Furthermore, the region’s dominant role in tropical forest and peatland restoration, particularly in Indonesia and Vietnam, makes it a critical focus for satellite-based nature intelligence. The expansion of the high-tech sector in Asia-Pacific is enabling the development of localized solutions for ecosystem monitoring and disaster risk reduction. The key companies operating in the Asia-Pacific market include regional subsidiaries of global leaders and a growing number of domestic technology integrators.

Latin America and the Middle East & Africa (MEA) represent critical emerging frontiers for the nature-based climate solutions market, where the demand for monitoring and restoration technologies is rising in tandem with conservation efforts. In Latin America, growth is driven by the urgent need for deforestation monitoring and sustainable agriculture in the Amazon and Cerrado regions. The region is an early adopter of satellite-based nature intelligence to support REDD+ projects and comply with international zero-deforestation requirements. In the Middle East, the market is propelled by ambitious government-led development plans, such as Saudi Arabia’s ‘Vision 2030,’ which include massive investments in large-scale reforestation and marine conservation projects. In Africa, the market is in the early stages of development but presents significant long-term potential for improving food security and climate adaptation through nature-based projects. The key companies operating in these regions include Mombak and global developers who partner with specialized local agencies to provide technical expertise.

Competitive Landscape

The global nature-based climate solutions market is evolving rapidly, driven by the growth of carbon and biodiversity markets, corporate net-zero commitments, and demand for high-integrity, data-verified project outcomes. The market remains fragmented, with competition spanning project developers, carbon and biodiversity credit developers, digital MRV and nature intelligence platforms, carbon and nature credit marketplaces, climate advisory and project financing firms, and validation, verification, and rating providers. Participants compete primarily on project integrity, scientific validation, MRV capability, geographic and ecosystem coverage, credit quality, and access to buyers and capital.

A key competitive trend is the shift from fragmented, project-by-project transactions toward integrated platforms that combine origination, digital MRV, verification, and marketplace access. Companies are investing in remote sensing, artificial intelligence, and geospatial analytics to reduce monitoring costs and strengthen credit credibility, while strategic partnerships among developers, technology providers, financial institutions, and standards bodies are accelerating commercialization. The growing emphasis on quality and transparency is favoring providers that can demonstrate verifiable, durable carbon and biodiversity outcomes.

Key Players

The key players operating in the global nature-based climate solutions market include South Pole (Switzerland), Anew Climate, LLC (U.S.), Finite Carbon (a BP company) (U.S.), Wildlife Works Carbon (U.S.), Everland LLC (U.S.), Permian Global (U.K.), BioCarbon Partners (Zambia), Chestnut Carbon (U.S.), Mombak (Brazil), Land Life Company (Netherlands), Terraformation (U.S.), Catona Climate (U.S.), Rubicon Carbon (U.S.), Indigo Ag, Inc. (U.S.), Agreena ApS (Denmark), Boomitra (U.S.), ERM (Environmental Resources Management) (U.K.), Climate Impact Partners (U.K.), ClimatePartner GmbH (Germany), Anthesis Group (U.K.), EcoAct (an Atos company) (France), 3Degrees Group, Inc. (U.S.), Pachama, Inc. (U.S.), Sylvera Ltd. (U.K.), BeZero Carbon Ltd. (U.K.), Calyx Global (U.S.), Chloris Geospatial (Italy), Space Intelligence Ltd. (U.K.), CTrees (U.S.), NatureMetrics (U.K.), Planet Labs PBC (U.S.), Verra (U.S.), Gold Standard (Switzerland), American Carbon Registry (Winrock International) (U.S.), Climate Action Reserve (U.S.), Plan Vivo Foundation (U.K.), Xpansiv (CBL Markets) (U.S.), AirCarbon Exchange (ACX) (Singapore), SGS SA (Switzerland), Bureau Veritas (France), DNV (Norway), TÜV SÜD (Germany), and SCS Global Services (U.S.).

Key Questions Answered in the Report—

• What is the projected size of the global nature-based climate solutions market by 2036?

The global nature-based climate solutions market is projected to reach USD 27.4 billion by 2036.

• What is the expected CAGR for the market during the forecast period?

The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 16.2% from 2026 to 2036.

• Which solution type segment is expected to hold the major share of the market in 2026?

The forestry & land use segment is expected to hold the largest share due to mature methodologies and high carbon sequestration potential.

• Which geographical region is expected to dominate the market in 2026?

North America is expected to dominate the market with a 33% share, driven by concentrated corporate demand and technology concentration.

• How is the implementation of Article 6 impacting the nature-based climate solutions market?

Article 6 is facilitating large-scale sovereign and institutional investment into international carbon credit pipelines.

• What is the role of digital MRV in the growth of the market?

Digital MRV automates the measurement and verification of ecological outcomes, ensuring the integrity and transparency of credits.

• Why is the blue carbon segment projected to grow at the fastest CAGR?

Blue carbon ecosystems like mangroves offer high carbon density and significant co-benefits, often commanding a price premium.

• How are corporate net-zero commitments influencing the demand for nature-based solutions?

Enterprises are increasingly sourcing high-integrity nature-based removals to manage their Scope 3 emissions and meet sustainability targets.

Scope of the Report:

Nature-Based Climate Solutions Market Assessment — by Solution Type

• Forestry & Land Use (REDD+, Afforestation, Reforestation)
• Regenerative Agriculture & Soil Carbon
• Blue Carbon & Coastal Ecosystems (Mangroves, Seagrass, Saltmarshes)
• Peatlands & Wetlands Restoration

Nature-Based Climate Solutions Market Assessment — by Service Type

• Project Development & Implementation
• Digital MRV & Nature Intelligence
• Advisory & Transaction Services
• Verification & Credit Issuance
• Others

Nature-Based Climate Solutions Market Assessment — by End User

• Corporates & Institutional Buyers
• Project Developers
• Governments & Regulators
• Others

Nature-Based Climate Solutions Market Assessment — by Geography

• North America (U.S., Canada)
• Europe (U.K., Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Rest of Europe)
• Asia-Pacific (China, Japan, South Korea, India, Australia, Rest of Asia-Pacific)
• Latin America (Brazil, Mexico, Rest of Latin America)
• Middle East & Africa (UAE, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Rest of MEA)

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